As the 2025 Kenya Cup season enters its final week, crucial matches will determine the fate of teams at both ends of the table.
Here’s a breakdown of the scenarios to expect on the final day:
Kenya Cup Top table
KCB Rugby
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KCB, the league leaders, are aiming for a home final. The last time they hosted a final was in 2018, and they are determined to secure the top spot for a possible home final in April.
Winning scenarios:
– A bonus point victory in Kakamega will see KCB finish with 55 points.
– A win without a bonus point will give them 54 points.
– A draw will earn them 52 points. All this scenarios will be enough to earn them a top of the table finish.
Other possibilities:
– If KCB lose and earn two losing bonus points, they will tie with Kabras.
However, Kabras will finish higher due to head-to-head record.
Kabras RFC
Kabras are in the hunt for their sixth consecutive top-of-the-table finish. They’ve defeated KCB on the final day in two of the past seasons
Winning scenarios:
– A bonus point win over KCB will earn them 53 points and guarantee a top finish.
– A win without a bonus point will give them 52 points.
– Any win will secure a top position for Kabras.
Other possibilities:
– If they lose or draw, or earn a losing bonus, they will miss out on finishing first, ending their streak of top finishes.
Menengai Oilers
The Oilers have already secured a third-place finish, and their result in Kwale won’t affect their position.
Nondies
Nondies need to win against Kisumu to secure a home playoff spot.
They can also finish fourth if Kenya Harlequin fail to win at Strathmore Leos.
Possible outcomes:
– A bonus point win in Kisumu will give Nondies 39 points.
– A win without a bonus point will give them 38 points.
– A draw will earn them 36 points.
Kenya Harlequin
Quins can overtake Nondies if Nondies lose or draw, and Quins win with a bonus at Strathmore.
Possible outcomes:
– A bonus point win will give Quins 37 points.
– A win without a bonus point will give them 36 points.
– A tie with Nondies will see them finish below Nondies due to head-to-head record.
Blak Blad
Blad are locked into 6th place, but they would like to finish with a win for momentum before the break.
Possible outcomes:
– A bonus point win against Mwamba will give Blad 31 points.
– A normal win will give them 30 points.
– A draw or two losing bonus points will leave them with 28 points.
Impala
Impala currently sit on 15 points and face Nakuru RFC on the final day. They can be relegated if they lose without a bonus point, and if other results go against them.
Possible scenarios:
– Impala will remain safe with any win against Nakuru, or if they lose with two losing bonus points, provided other results go in their favor.
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Nakuru RFC
Nakuru are on a three-match winning streak and will face Impala on the final day.
Possible outcomes:
– A bonus point win will guarantee Nakuru safety with 19 points, which Strathmore, Kisumu, or Mwamba cannot surpass.
– A win without a bonus will also be enough to ensure surviva
– Wanyore can be relegated if they lose without earning any points, and if Mwamba, Strathmore, and Kisumu all win.
Other possibilities:
– A draw or two losing bonus points will give Wanyore 16 points, which could be enough for survival, provided Mwamba, Kisumu, or Strathmore fail to perform.
Strathmore Leos
Strathmore can finish with 18 points if they win with a bonus against Quins.
Possible outcomes:
– A win without a bonus point gives them 17 points.
– A draw or two losing bonus points will leave them with 15 points.
– They can still be safe if they lose to Quins and if either Kisumu and Mwamba lose their matches without earning any bonus points.
Kisumu RFC
-Kisumu are tied on 13 points with Strathmore and have similar scenarios.
Possible outcomes:
– A win with a bonus point will give Kisumu 18 points, while a win without a bonus will leave them with 17.
– Two points will leave them on 15 points, but they will need other results to go in their favor to avoid relegation.
Mwamba RFC
Mwamba are still in the relegation battle, needing to win with a bonus point to stay alive.
Possible outcomes:
– A bonus point win will give them 17 points and they will need other results to fall in their favor.
– A draw or two losing bonus points could also keep them safe, if Kisumu, Leos, Pirates dont pick any points.
South Coast Pirates
The Pirates can survive relegation if they pick up 5 points (a winning bonus) against Menengai Oilers, or 4 points and hope that Mwamba, Strathmore, and Kisumu do not surpass them.
